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Feature
Frank Scoblete
Cutthroat
Craps
You've
got everything to gain
Most
gambling writers are cautious, timid soulsand
with good reason. We dont want to offer information
that might lead players to jump off the deep end of
the casino diving board, whooping and hollering as
their bankrolls go "splat!" on the concrete
floor of the empty pool below. And so, we are very
careful to recommend only the very best mathematically
proven bets, the very best mathematically proven systems,
and the very best money management models in the hope
that we wont lead any of you into the deep,
deep waters of strong negative expectation.
We
prefer that you put your big toe in the water, not
take a wild belly flop. We prefer splashing in the
kiddie pool over the attempt to swim the English Channel.
And
thats a good thing.
Each
and every issue of Casino Player magazine has article
after article explaining what are the best and, invariably,
most cautious, ways to play this or that game. Ive
written many of these articles myself. When it comes
to caution, Im a yield-right-of-way, stop-sign,
red-light kind of guy.
This
is especially true in craps, where the traditional
thinking has been to make a Pass Line bet, back it
with full odds and then do the same with a few Come
bets. And this is good advice, because its based
on the sound mathematical proposition that you will
lose less in the long run playing this way than by
playing any other way.
Still,
the choice for casino players is not merely "either/or"
as in, "either I play cautiously betting Pass,
Come and Odds, or I go completely berserk!"
Folks,
there is a great in-betweenan area of craps
play that can be rather daring, yet still based on
sound principles of both math and logic, and can,
when things are going right, yield much more in the
way of return than can traditional approaches. All
this, without more risk. In fact, all this, in most
cases, with substantially less risk.
Its
called "Cutthroat Craps." Its played
to win money at the tables and drain the casinos dry
with comps.
What
makes it different from all the other advice on craps
youve read in magazine articles? Just this:
Cutthroat Crappers are more interested in betting
on selected shooters than they are in betting the
lowest possible house-edge betand with good
reason. In fact, Cutthroat Crappers are banking on
select shooters changing the actual odds on the game
to favor betting other than the traditional Pass and/or
Come with Odds.
The
Assumptions of the Cutthroat Crapper
Certain
assumptions are inherent in any system of craps play.
Cutthroat Craps is no different. There are three fundamental
assumptions the Cutthroat Crapper makes:
1.
Certain shooters can change a slightly negative game
into a slightly positive game for certain players
who know to bet these shooters. These shooters are
dubbed "rhythmic rollers" or, more recently,
"Golden Shooters."
This
is a highly controversial issue in gaming circles,
as it postulates that some shooters can and do control
their rolls to the extent necessary to achieve this
shift from slightly negative to slightly positive.
Many gambling writers do not believe, as I do, that
these Golden Shooters exist or that rhythmic rolling
takes place at a craps table. They give sundry reasons
for their skepticism. And thats fine. Their
belief is not a prerequisite for utilizing Cutthroat
Craps methods, as these methods have no substantial
downside for the craps player using them. (For a full
discussion of the "Golden Shooter" concept,
I refer you to my new book, Forever Craps: The Five-Step
Advantage Play Method.)
2.
Golden Shooters will tend to be consistent in their
dice rolling and in the resultant dice faces that
show. This consistency will be seen with their dice-sets,
delivery and style of betting.
3.
To take advantage of a Golden Shooter, you must adapt
your betting style to the Golden Shooter as "one
size does not fit all." That will often mean
deviating from the mathematically best bets.
A
Tale of Two Shooters
You
are watching a craps game in action. Shooter A is
on the come-out roll. Everyone places his or her Pass
Line bets except for one weaselly looking guy whos
betting on the Dont Pass. Shooter A picks up
two dice and flings them unceremoniously down the
table where they hop, skip, jump and careen all over
the layout until finally coming to rest several feet
from each other. He establishes his point; lets
say its a 6.
He
immediately calls over the cocktail waitress and orders
another seven-and-seven, guffawing as he does so:
"Heavy on the Seagram, honey, and light on the
Up, ha! ha! ha!"
Shooter
A then throws out some chips and says: "Oh, give
me, like, all the hardways and, ummm, I dont
know, all the numbers I dont have and, ummm,
a yo-eleven and boxcars." The stickman now passes
Shooter A the dice and he fires them down the table
again.
Heres
a question for you: Would you bet on Shooter A?
If
you said: "Yes, of course, craps is a random
game and this guy has as good a chance as anyone else
to make me money," then youre a typical
craps player. If you bet Shooter A by making the Pass
and/or Come with Odds, then youre a typical
good craps player, as youve made the mathematically
best bets at the game.
But
you arent a Cutthroat Craps player.
If,
by the way, you just went berserk and started betting
hardways, hops, yos, boxcars, snake eyes and
Big Reds, then you arent a good craps player
or a Cutthroat Craps playeryoure just
a dumb craps player.
Now,
youre watching a different shooterShooter
Bon his come-out roll. The Pass Line bets are
down, the weaselly looking Dont bettor has taken
his chips and skulked away from the table, and the
stickman passes the dice to the shooter. Before the
shooter picks up the dice, he puts $170 on the table
and says: "Sixty dollar 6 and 8, buy the 4 for
$50, everything off on the come-out." (The casino
we are at only takes the vig on the 4 if it wins.)
Shooter
B now picks up the dice and carefully sets them with
the 3-spots facing him in a "V." Then he
carefully positions his fingers on the dice, checks
a spot at the end of the table that he seems to be
aiming for, and gently lofts the dice down the table.
Once in flight, the dice do not rotate or even separate,
but move rather languidly in the air, side by side,
with the 3-spots staring at the ceiling. When they
land, they land together, just touching the back wall,
where they come to rest without much movement, a few
inches apart. The point is 6, made the hardway3,3.
The
shooter points to his Place bet and says: "Down
on my 6 and give me the odds behind the point."
The dealer does so.
You
now notice that Shooter B throws down a red chip and
says: "Five dollars on the hard 6 for the dealers."
So
I ask the same question as I did above: Would you
bet on Shooter B?
Obviously,
if you wouldve bet on Shooter A, youd
bet on Shooter B, because to you, it doesnt
matter who rolls the dice. You make no distinctions
among shooters, as you believe every shooter is the
same.
However,
if you were the type of player who said: "Im
not betting Shooter A because I dont like the
way he rolls them bones, but I am betting on Shooter
B because he seems to take great care with his roll,"
then you are indeed on your way to becoming a Cutthroat
Crapper.
The
Golden Shooter
Is
Shooter B really a Golden Shooter? Is he really capable
of changing the nature of the game so that an astute
bettor such as yourself can take advantage of his
roll?
From
the above scenario, you could not state definitively
one way or the other. In fact, some pundits would
say that you could make a strong argument from the
above information I have given you that "you
cant make any argument at all from the above
information!"
I
think those pundits would be wrong.
Heres
what the above information tells us:
1.
Shooter A is definitely a random roller, not a rhythmic
roller. If controlling the dice is possible (and,
as stated, I believe it is), he couldnt possibly
have any control over the dice at all. You bet on
all the shooter As of the world and craps cant
possibly be anything more than its mathematical underpinningswhich
is to say, youll lose in the long run that percentage
of your total action based on the types of bets you
make. Period. Shooter A is a waste of your time.
2.
Shooter B has a chance to be a Golden Shooter, as
he seems to be very careful with his dice set, delivery
and betting. As you watch Shooter B, its obvious
that he thinks he has some effect on the dice or he
wouldnt take such deliberate care with his roll.
3.
If both Shooter A and Shooter B have absolutely no
control whatsoever over the dice, or if rhythmic rolling
does not exist and Golden Shooters are merely a figment
of my overactive imagination in unholy alliance with
my wishful thinking, betting only on Shooter B and
avoiding Shooter A is still a smart move!
Why?
Because youve cut your exposure to the house
edge.
4.
Shooter B is also very much aware that hes playing
two distinct games against the casino when he rolls.
Hes playing the game of craps and all that that
entails, but hes also playing the comp game.
Thats right. His deciding to Place his numbers
before his come-out roll; leaving them off during
the come-out roll indicates that hes aware the
floorperson will record his maximum spread$170
plus his Pass Line wagerand not his spread when
his Pass Line bet might bump down the Place bet. Bumping
down the Place bet and taking Odds usually reduces
the comp spread because most casinos do not give you
credit for the Odds betan important thing to
consider. Another important point: his bets are not
working, not at risk, yet are still earning him comp
credit.
You
have nothing to lose and everything to gain by assuming
that Shooter B is a Golden Shooter. If he isnt,
so what? Youve cut your exposure to the house
edge, so youre actually reducing your losses.
Thats a gain. But if he is a Golden Shooter,
then you have a chance to play a positive-expectation
craps game! And that could be a terrific gain, indeed.
Betting
On Shooter B
Since
you have nothing to lose and everything to gain by
avoiding Shooter A and betting on Shooter B, the next
question is, how should we bet on him? Should we go
the traditional Pass/Come with Odds, or should we
figure some other method of betting?
Id
like to propose that in Shooter Bs case, we
deviate from tradition and mimic his bets. Those are
the numbers hell tend to hit. If he is indeed
a rhythmic roller and our longed-for Golden Shooter,
he will be inclined to hit certain dice combinations
more often (slightly, moderately, or greatly more
often as the case may be) and hell tend to bet
on what has made him money in the past. It makes sense,
then, to bet with him. That would mean Placing the
6 and 8 and buying the 4 (if you can afford it).
Would
the casino have a significantly greater edge on you
if you did mimic Shooter B? Not really. Placing the
6 and 8 comes in with a house edge of 1.52 percent,
while buying the 4 for $50, and only paying the vig
if you win, comes in at 1.28 percent. Essentially,
youre making a bet that has a combined house
edge close to that of the Pass Line or Come when you
dont take odds.
Of
course, skillful, professional, rhythmic rollers such
as "Sharpshooter" (I wrote about him in
a previous Casino Player article) have different dice
sets and deliveries for different parts of the game.
For example, on the come-out where the 7 is a desirable
number, you might see Sharpshooter use one set and
delivery and, once the point is established, youll
note he sets and delivers an entirely different way.
Youll discover that he does this every time
its his turn to rollcome-out roll, one
dice set and delivery; attempting to make the point
or other numbers, a different dice set and delivery.
Still,
most Golden Shooters will not be that accomplished.
Indeed, youll probably discover that the overwhelming
majority of players will be more like Shooter A than
Shooter B. Even those players who do take care with
their dice sets will often just fling the dice down
the table once those sets are completed. Conversely,
those who take great care with their shooting style
will often not care how the dice are set before they
shoot. Neither of these types is a Golden Shooter.
They have just developed a bit of style in their shooting.
Cutthroat
Question: How Much Time Do You Have to Kill?
If
youre a frequent visitor to casinos, making
daily or weekly visits, you might want to go all out
and only bet on the potential Golden Shooters. Your
patience will be rewarded as youll only bet
on those shooters who have a chance to change the
nature of the game in your favor. All other shooters,
youll save your money on. In fact, if you really
want to become proficient in shooter selection, you
might want to apply the "5-Count" as well.
In such a case, youd only bet on those Golden
Shooters who have successfully made it past the 5-Count.
(This, I cover in detail in Forever Craps.)
However,
many players dont have the luxury of going to
casinos daily or weekly and/or dont have the
patience or desire to hang around waiting for just
the right prescription of dice set and delivery before
they plunge into the fray. Such players are understandably
anxious to get into the action. If that characterizes
you, then there is still a way to put into effect
the Cutthroat Craps principles above: Bet more on
the Golden Shooters and much, much less on the other
shooters.
If
youre normally a $60 bettor when youre
fully spread out, drop down to a $30 spread on all
Shooter A types. But when Shooter B types come along,
go to $90 and take your shot. In fact, youll
save yourself some money doing this as Shooter Bs
dont make up anywhere near half of all shooters.
When
you are on your low bets, play a traditional, tight
game of Pass/Come with Odds. But when youre
going on the Shooter B types, mimic their betting
with this caveat: avoid any bets that have a house
edge of 4 percent or higher. That leaves you essentially
betting the Place numbers in accord with the shooter
(if the shooter does this) or going up on the Come
if the shooter prefers this style.
Of
course, I cant write about craps without strongly
urging my readers to also play the 5-Count on all
shooters, regardless of what category they fit into.
Cutthroat
Comps
Casinos
are ready, willing, happy and able to give a variety
of comps to craps players for their play. The Cutthroat
Crapper knows how to maximize those comps without
increasing his or her risk. Here are three Cutthroat
ways to drain the comps from the casinos:
1.
If you are using Place bets, always put them up on
the come-out roll and have them "off." Youll
get maximum comp time without any risk whatsoever.
2.
When you tip, do not place a separate bet for the
dealers either next to your Pass Line bet or on the
hardways, etc. Place the dealers bet on top
of your own. Dealers bets that are on the side
or placed separately generally dont earn the
player any comp points, but those placed on top do.
That extra five or ten dollars could mean the difference
between a free or a discounted room, a buffet or cafe
meal. So tip on top!
3.
Make sure that your maximum bets are noticed by the
raters. When the Golden Shooter has the dice, you
must make sure that the floorperson is aware of your
big bets. The best way to do that is before the come-out
roll. When (or if) you make Place bets, do so loudly!
Luck
Helps Those Who Help Themselves
Ive
been playing craps a long, long time and it never
ceases to amaze me how many long-term players, when
its their chance to roll, just fling the dice
and hope for the best. Some shooters dont even
look as if they want to win. Some dont look
where they are throwing the dice; they look away.
These shooters have no style, no panache, and no real
chance of beating the game in the long run of their
own individual rolling careers.
While
it might be argued that my craps notions are wrong,
it cannot be argued that the only possible way to
beat craps is by physically altering the nature of
the game. With the exception of the Captains
"Oddsmans Bet" and the buying of Dont
bets from other players, every bet at craps has a
negative expectation for the player. Even the Odds
bet can only be made if you have a negative-expectation
Pass or Come bet to place those Odds on.
Once
again, you have nothing to lose and everything to
gain by attempting to utilize a controlled dice set
and delivery. You have nothing to lose by concentrating
on making yourself a Golden Shooter. If you love to
play craps anyway, why not give yourself a chance
to win on your own rolls? At the very least, taking
great care with your form will slow the game down
a bit and will engage you more than just chucking
the dice down the table.
The
Cutthroat Craps players can cut their overall risk
by not betting every shooter (or by betting less on
the random rollers) and cut into the casino comp coffers
by tipping the right way and betting at the right
times.
Why
bother playing any other way?
Frank
Scoblete is the number one best-selling gaming author
in the country. He also publishes his own magazine,
Chance and Circumstance and has his own website at
www.scoblete.com
at RGT Online. For a free catalog call: 1-800-944-0406
or write to: Paone Press, Box 610, Lynbrook, NY 11563.
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