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Feature
George
Pappadopoulos
Myths Versus Realities
Exposing the Truth about Blackjack
It
has come to my attention that within the gambling arena, the game
of blackjack has many myths that circulate at its tables. My goal
here is to examine them and then explain the realities. By having
an understanding of these myths and how to overcome them, it then
becomes possible to reduce the edge a casino has over youwhich
is always a good thing in my book.
Lets
begin with my favorite myth: that other players at the table affect
your play. It never ceases to amaze me how many people actually
think this is true. In last months article I touched briefly
on this particular myth, but its such a huge misconception
that I feel compelled to mention it again. I cant state more
emphatically that other players have nothing to do with your play.
As long as you are following perfect basic strategy, what someone
else does is irrelevant.
Let
me ask you a question. When was the last time you thanked someone
for making a basic strategy blunder that wound up helping you win?
For example: the guy next to you is sitting with a hard 16 against
the dealers 6, and low and behold, he asks to be hit, drawing
that 10 which would have made you go bust. You, on the other hand,
get a sweet 3 on your A-7 that gives you 21 on your double down
and the dealer goes bust!
Did
you say THANK YOU? Ill bet not, but you know it has happened.
You just dont remember, because its easier to remember
the time when he took the 10 you needed and you lost. Everybody
remembers those cards, but if you conducted a study to determine
just how many times you won or lost in this manner, youd find
that it comes out a wash in the end. So as long as this person isnt
driving you crazy, just sit back and do your thing secure in the
knowledge it doesnt matter one iota what the other player
does.
Heres
another myth: insurance is a good bet. This one almost makes me
laugh out loud. Taking insurance has been proven mathematically
incorrect by every expert who has ever played the game. Yet every
blackjack table in every casino in the country, if not the world,
has insurance. I wonder why? Could it be because its a house
bet?
First
Id like to define insurance, and then Ill explain why
it is such a horrible bet. In situations where the dealers
upcard is an ace, the player has the option to take out insurance
to protect his bet in case the dealer has blackjack. The players
insurance wager is an amount equal to half his original bet. If
it turns out the dealer has blackjack, the player is paid 2-to-1
on this side bet. If the dealer doesnt have blackjack, the
player loses his side bet and the game continues as usual. This
means you could still be beaten by the dealer and lose your original
wager as well. Never take insurance even when you have blackjack;
the odds are still against you.
Lets
do the math. For simplicitys sake well use a single
deck, but the theory is the same regardless of the number of decks.
In order for the dealer to get blackjack, he must have a ten-value
card under his Ace. This means he has 15 chances out of 49 to get
that ten (remember, you already have an ace and a 10.) The odds
of this happening are 69.2 percent, or three -and-a-third odds against
that happening. With those odds, do you still think its worth
risking an additional 50 percent of your bet? I sure hope not.
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